HNK Rijeka lost 0:2 to Danish Midtjylland in the first part of the Conference League play-off. Hajduk played 2:2 against Polish Rakow at home. According to the latest calculation by the Football Meets Data platform, Rijeka has only 10% chance of passing to the league phase against Midtjylland in the return match. As for Hajduk, after losing the win, the chances of passing to the league phase after the rematch in Poland have dropped to 43%, while Rakow is given 57%. The reason for the decline of Croatian clubs in passing is the result of the first matches. It is worth noting that this is a statistical projection, not a forecast of the final result. The models, in addition to the outcome of the first matches, take into account the strength of the teams, results, and circumstances of the match, and after the outcome in Herning and on Poljud, the situation is such that Rijeka and Hajduk will have to convince the statisticians next Thursday. HNK Rijeka currently occupies 7th place in the HNL with 3 points, 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss in the first 2 rounds. In the title match, Rijeka will face HNK Gorica away on February 20, 2027.